See how age and illnesses change the risk of dying from covid-19

The Unfrozen Cave � � All Things Wuhan Flu/Corona Virus/COVID-19 � See how age and illnesses change the risk of dying from covid-19

#1 | See how age and illnesses change the risk of dying from covid-19 datum

Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:47 pm

See how age and illnesses change the risk of dying from covid-19
Our risk model estimates chances of death and hospitalisation based on age, sex and comorbidities
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail...-risk-estimator
Mar 11th 2021

Covid-19 threatens everyone, but its risk is concentrated among particular groups of people. To help readers understand how the disease interacts with demography and with other illnesses (�comorbidities�), we have built a statistical risk model, using records in the Covid-19 Research Database from 425,000 people in America who tested positive. For any group of unvaccinated people of a given age, sex and mix of comorbidities, our model estimates the share that would be hospitalised or die within 30 days of a covid-19 diagnosis. To learn more about which medical conditions most exacerbate covid-19, please see Graphic Detail; the model�s methodology is summarised here.

The interactive below lets you explore the model�s output for any combination of variables. It assumes that comorbidities not selected are not present, even if they often appear together. For example, if you enter only Type 2 diabetes, you will receive an estimate for people with Type 2 diabetes but not hypertension. We do not store any records of which readers use the interactive, or of which medical conditions they select.

Users should not interpret these results as a personalised risk assessment. Any given individual�s risk will differ from the group average that our model estimates. Readers seeking medical advice should consult a doctor. Rare combinations of inputs can produce unreliable results (see FAQ).-- excerpt, rest at link above --

"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."

- J. R. R. Tolkien

EdJames said Thank You!

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#2 | RE: See how age and illnesses change the risk of dying from covid-19 datum

Sat Sep 11, 2021 12:48 pm

Seems pretty good.

And, my risks are even lower than I had thought.

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#3 | RE: See how age and illnesses change the risk of dying from covid-19 datum

Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:13 pm

My Dr. recently asked me if I was vaccinated. I told him that something was surely going to kill me eventually but it would not be a vaccine that does it!

Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God!

EdJames said Thank You!

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#4 | RE: See how age and illnesses change the risk of dying from covid-19 datum

Sun Sep 12, 2021 4:19 pm (Last edited: Sun Sep 12, 2021 4:20 pm)

Quote: Tinker wrote in post #3
My Dr. recently asked me if I was vaccinated. I told him that something was surely going to kill me eventually but it would not be a vaccine that does it!

My Dr asked me the same last month and strongly urged me to get the vaccine.

I told him once they developed a sure-fire true vaccine like the one I took for polio when I was a kid then I would consider. Until then, no.

"If the Union is dissolved, I shall return to my native State, and share the miseries of the people, and save in defense will draw my sword on none" Robert E. Lee, February 1861 following hearing of Texas secession.

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REVEALED: 26 out of the 27 Lancet scientists who trashed theory that Covid leaked from a Chinese lab have links to Wuhan researchers � � OK. I�m tired of the emotional reasoning, so I went to the CDC�s website and sorted through the data myself. Here are the cold, hard facts as of 9/4/21.