Quote: EdJames wrote in post #16

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Quote: austingirl wrote in post #15

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Another recalculation for the IHME.
4-1 projected 93.451 deaths
4-7 guessed 81,766 deaths
4-8 new guess 60,415
tomorrow?

1903 deaths predicted for today however, just yesterday the guess for April 8th was 2348.

Why doesn't Trump show this data and justify firing Fauxi and Birx who are doubling and tripling down on their totalitarian plans.


https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

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Apparently the PtB have excuses ready for all of this: "you can't blame fauxi and the models, they are just refining things afterall, as they get new data....."

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Today's stats and updated guesses

4-8-projections
4-8 1903 1874 actual- a much better guess after the a$$covering for previous 2348 guess
4-9 2037 was 2532
4-10 2104 was 2680
4-11 2151 was 2821
4-12 2212 (new peak) was 3045
4-13 2136 was 2896
4-14 2156 was 3067
4-15 2102 was 3039
4-16 2083 old peak was 3103

Quote: austingirl wrote in post #18

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Today's stats and updated guesses

4-8-projections
4-8 1903 1874 actual- a much better guess after the a$$covering for previous 2348 guess
4-9 2037 was 2532
4-10 2104 was 2680
4-11 2151 was 2821
4-12 2212 (new peak) was 3045
4-13 2136 was 2896
4-14 2156 was 3067
4-15 2102 was 3039
4-16 2083 old peak was 3103

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Quote: austingirl wrote in post #19

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Quote: austingirl wrote in post #18

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Today's stats and updated guesses

4-8-projections
4-8 1903 1874 actual- a much better guess after the a$$covering for previous 2348 guess
4-9 2037 was 2532
4-10 2104 was 2680
4-11 2151 was 2821
4-12 2212 (new peak) was 3045
4-13 2136 was 2896
4-14 2156 was 3067
4-15 2102 was 3039
4-16 2083 old peak was 3103

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4-9 guess 2037 actual 1872 (was 2532 in previous tarot card reading, I mean projection)

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Another recalculation at the IHME website today

4-10 2104 guess on Tuesday, today' s guess (which is now the PEAK) was 1983 actual 2037- maybe the strategy is to underestimate so things look worse.

Remember deaths are a lagging indicator (2680 was the previous Ouija board prediction)

4-11 latest guess 1907 actual 1830

In April the projection for this date has gone from 2821 to 2151 to 1907. And we know the numbers are padded.

4-12 actual 1528 on April 1st the guess was 3045 lowered to 2212 then 1910

The IHME updated their guess again today and damned if they aren't even more wrong. https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

4-13 new estimate today was 2150 increased from 4-10 projection of 1895 actual 1535

What a clown show!

Texas hospital stats https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsd...b01e8b9cafc8b83

Total Texas COVID-19 14.624 cases reported out of 30,000,000 318 deaths out of 30,000,000 or three days worth of traffic fatalities (in normal times)

Lab Confirmed COVID-19 Patients 1,409 Currently In Texas Hospitals

Total Staffed Hospital Beds 49,893 Available Hospital Beds 21,198

Available ICU Beds 2,342 Available Ventilators 6,700

Disclaimer: All data are provisional and subject to change.
* This number is an estimate based on several assumptions related to hospitalization rates and recovery times, which were informed by data available to date. These assumptions are subject to change as we learn more about COVID-19. The estimated number does not include data from any cases reported prior to 3/24/2020.
This dashboard will be updated daily by 1PM.


Last Updated

4/14/2020 11:45AM

Could have predictedthat deaths (padded) would increase to the highest level since there is a talk about restarting the economy. Last guess for 4-14 was 1983 "actual" was 2407. Taken with several cartons of dalt

Then this little nugget:

New York City today has reported 3,778 additional deaths that have occurred since March 11 and have been classified as "probable," defined as follows: “decedent [...] had no known positive laboratory test for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) but the death certificate lists as a cause of death “COVID-19” or an equivalent" [source]. We will add these to the New York State total as soon as it is determined whether the historical distribution can be obtained

Expect more upward revisions.

I just want to know.... who is doing these computer models? Bill Ayers? He/they must be very disappointed in the actual numbers.... on a constant basis.

And the paranoia it has created. Hell, my neighbor now refuses to go shopping at the only local Walmart she would previously shop at. Why? Because she "heard" that two Covid-19 deaths were associated with it.

Quote: XL wrote in post #29

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I just want to know.... who is doing these computer models? Bill Ayers? He/they must be very disappointed in the actual numbers.... on a constant basis.

And the paranoia it has created. Hell, my neighbor now refuses to go shopping at the only local Walmart she would previously shop at. Why? Because she "heard" that two Covid-19 deaths were associated with it.

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