New cases of Covid-19 have been rising all over the world. This is especially apparent in European countries like France, England, Belgium, Spain and Italy. In a rational world, rising cases that are not accompanied by concomitant increases in mortality would be viewed as a sign of improvement.
For example, Spain recorded an all-time peak of new cases (21,000) on October 21. However, the death rate is still only about 25% of the peak in April. Granted there is about a month lag between cases and deaths but the numbers are still trending far lower than the peaks in the spring. So, in Spain we have double the cases and a quarter of the deaths.
Increases in testing among asymptomatic people will always produce many positive cases, which may be either false positives or extremely mild cases. This is what happens when viral outbreaks end; the general population develops “herd immunity” and in effect become a dead end for further spread.
All of this is known and I have written at length about it but why is the world continuing to ignore logic-- excerpt, rest at link above --
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.
"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.
"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
The sad story is that both new cases and daily deaths are up significantly in most European countries. So far in the US new cases are way up but the increase in daily deaths is slight (statistically, not to the families of those who died obviously).
The Unfrozen Cave
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Sat Nov 07, 2020 12:22 am
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